Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.509718 3.729019 3.961011 4.225743 4.520757 4.840922 5.216709
2025-10-12 3.198222 3.514362 3.868329 4.298326 4.812609 5.416041 6.190239
2025-10-19 3.002752 3.374259 3.806542 4.355399 5.047020 5.909274 7.099899
2025-10-26 2.838740 3.243655 3.728731 4.366184 5.203956 6.302939 7.922131
2025-11-02 2.675094 3.095070 3.609387 4.303494 5.246725 6.536840 8.546383
2025-11-09 2.520592 2.944551 3.472719 4.200704 5.217093 6.656416 9.008639
2025-11-16 2.404255 2.833518 3.376802 4.140532 5.234660 6.837515 9.587183
2025-11-23 2.336001 2.778957 3.349108 4.167938 5.374907 7.212400 10.549842
2025-11-30 2.270018 2.722786 3.314345 4.180418 5.490806 7.559249 11.532193
2025-12-07 2.163080 2.606911 3.191859 4.057998 5.389076 7.536999 11.810245
2025-12-14 2.074899 2.512275 3.093638 3.964129 5.322846 7.564831 12.191005
2025-12-21 2.012233 2.449268 3.035836 3.925455 5.339341 7.734718 12.901734
2025-12-28 1.962955 2.404119 3.003040 3.925386 5.423654 8.045942 14.032522
2026-01-04 1.936015 2.388628 3.011551 3.988766 5.619392 8.592959 15.909622
2026-01-11 1.907155 2.368854 3.012298 4.039197 5.796837 9.132601 17.995687
2026-01-18 1.868770 2.333860 2.988702 4.048726 5.902184 9.542845 19.912987
2026-01-25 1.815215 2.275241 2.927415 3.993299 5.884419 9.689328 21.090475
2026-02-01 1.755356 2.205671 2.847075 3.902285 5.793494 9.663275 21.691800
2026-02-08 1.708735 2.153739 2.791306 3.848928 5.768915 9.783577 22.882564
2026-02-15 1.684649 2.133551 2.782578 3.873237 5.893711 10.268474 25.758071
2026-02-22 1.658562 2.109488 2.766772 3.884303 5.993317 10.711529 28.827415
2026-03-01 1.604685 2.043146 2.683567 3.775649 5.846387 10.518222 28.849170
2026-03-08 1.559192 1.988135 2.616419 3.692171 5.745303 10.432154 29.396090